Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.113463 0.131245 0.150880 0.174169 0.201040 0.231077 0.267208
2025-12-07 0.082747 0.105846 0.133980 0.170765 0.217611 0.275312 0.351856
2025-12-14 0.066440 0.091178 0.123442 0.168600 0.230211 0.311412 0.426740
2025-12-21 0.056800 0.082551 0.118064 0.170608 0.246437 0.352043 0.510609
2025-12-28 0.051321 0.078388 0.117561 0.178376 0.270509 0.405087 0.617115
2026-01-04 0.046220 0.073806 0.115496 0.183063 0.289975 0.452941 0.720986
2026-01-11 0.041920 0.069717 0.113416 0.187078 0.308353 0.500547 0.829332
2026-01-18 0.037820 0.065312 0.110141 0.188512 0.322373 0.542295 0.932454
2026-01-25 0.033631 0.060164 0.104937 0.185929 0.329109 0.572414 1.019014
2026-02-01 0.029478 0.054522 0.098172 0.179718 0.328643 0.589893 1.085104
2026-02-08 0.027250 0.052017 0.096526 0.182254 0.343705 0.635587 1.205953
2026-02-15 0.025045 0.049271 0.094096 0.182983 0.355368 0.676094 1.321275
2026-02-22 0.023290 0.047219 0.092806 0.185874 0.371738 0.727607 1.464544
2026-03-01 0.020946 0.043735 0.088406 0.182236 0.375069 0.754770 1.563645
2026-03-08 0.019033 0.040882 0.084901 0.179927 0.380668 0.786731 1.675641
2026-03-15 0.017780 0.039246 0.083652 0.182070 0.395562 0.838754 1.834700
2026-03-22 0.017211 0.039002 0.085241 0.190357 0.424281 0.922163 2.069617
2026-03-29 0.016391 0.038102 0.085326 0.195358 0.446368 0.993712 2.286440
2026-04-05 0.015577 0.037119 0.085111 0.199642 0.467279 1.064761 2.509863
2026-04-12 0.014624 0.035701 0.083765 0.201173 0.482036 1.123559 2.711519
2026-04-19 0.013462 0.033646 0.080738 0.198416 0.486441 1.159179 2.862459
2026-04-26 0.012162 0.031108 0.076305 0.191790 0.480840 1.170868 2.956938
2026-05-03 0.011551 0.030214 0.075709 0.194495 0.498330 1.239176 3.198329